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CIO Academy: Private Infrastructure

Thought Leadership
Private infrastructure
CIO Academy
Diversification
Hedging

CIO Academy: Private Infrastructure: An All-Weather Portfolio Ballast, Especially Relevant in Times of Public Market Dislocations

Aug 18, 2025

Highlights: The world has unwittingly entered a new normal in 2025 – one with higher tariffs, lower economic growth, and potentially higher inflation (depending on where the new US tariffs settle). In this new normal, public market assets are susceptible to gyrations and if there’s one thing that any investment portfolio needs, it is the good old diversification. However, as witnessed in H1 2025, conventional sources of portfolio diversification haven’t always worked in periods of market dislocations. Why? Because the negative correlation between stocks and bonds became positive (hence both sold off in tandem) signifying that the fixed income element may have lost some of its traditional hedging capability. As such, a standard 60/40 stock-bond portfolio may no longer be diversified enough. In this new regime, we believe investors need to diversify their diversifiers by allocating to other asset classes with different risk-return attributes vs. public markets. One such different source of diversification is infrastructure, which not only has a low correlation to conventional assets but also offers downside protection in an inflationary environment through its long-term contracts and CPI-indexed revenues. This makes infrastructure an all-weather asset class – a ‘Steady Eddie’ in layman terms - thanks to its defensive, consistent, and growing cash flow streams which are inflation hedged, making it an effective portfolio ballast, especially in times of public market dislocations.

Besides being shaped by the structural trends of ‘The Three D’s – Digitalisation, Decarbonisation and De-globalisation (i.e. the reshoring of supply chains requiring adequate physical and digital facilities), infrastructure is now being driven by new cyclical catalysts that are underpinned by geopolitical forces and economic imperatives.

We term these as ‘The Great Recalibration of Global Priorities’: 

  1. Global governments’ focus on energy self-reliance and their unprecedented sense of urgency with regards to attaining energy security. 
  2. Trump 2.0 policies prioritising American national interest – reshoring of manufacturing and ongoing buildout of AI infrastructure. 
  3. Europe’s renewed commitment towards boosting defense and domestic infrastructure.

Due to a culmination of these structural and cyclical drivers, Infrastructure looks all set for its next multi-decade cycle, providing investors a broader opportunity set, especially at a time when copious volumes of undeployed private capital is targeting long-term, inflation-linked returns. As such, investors with long term investment horizons and an ability to withstand the illiquidity risk that comes with owning long life assets should reap the benefits of diversification and stable inflation hedged returns that private infrastructure offers.

For investors looking to deepen exposure to private markets, our private equity firms network can provide access to diversified, long-term opportunities that complement private infrastructure allocations.

This is a marketing communication from HSBC Private Bank, which is the main private bank business within the HSBC Group. Private banking services are delivered by various HSBC companies around the world, depending on local laws and regulations. The services described in this document may be provided by different HSBC entities, and members of the HSBC Group may also trade in the products mentioned here.

 

This document is not independent investment research under the European Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (‘MiFID’) or other relevant regulations and is not subject to restrictions on dealing ahead of its distribution. This means HSBC and its staff may have an interest in the products or services mentioned before this document is shared with you.

 

The information in this document is for general information only and is intended for HSBC Private Bank clients. It does not constitute, and should not be construed as, legal, tax or investment advice, or a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to buy or sell any financial products or services.

Some HSBC offices may act only as representatives of HSBC Private Bank and are not permitted to sell products, provide services, or offer advice to customers. Not all products or services are available in all jurisdictions. For a complete list of HSBC Private Bank entities and their regulatory status, please visit our HSBC Private Bank website.

 

Before proceeding, please refer to the full long macro disclaimer and the Terms and Conditions available at HSBC Private Bank website which provide further important information about the use of this material.

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